Vaccines for COVID-19: How Protective Are They? When Will They Be Ready? A Leading Vaccinologist at Mount Sinai Weighs In

Florian Krammer, PhD

As the SARS-CoV-2 virus circulates throughout the world unchecked, researchers are racing to develop more than 135 vaccines. How well will these vaccines work and how soon will we be able to benefit from them? To answer these questions and more, Mount Sinai Today turned to a leader in SARS-CoV-2 antibody research, Florian Krammer, PhD, Mount Sinai Professor in Vaccinology at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. Dr. Krammer is an experienced virologist whose Mount Sinai lab is working on a universal flu vaccine.

What does the vaccine landscape look like?

Vaccines have been made in record time, and they use different platforms. Two candidates use RNA technology, which has never been used in a vaccine before. Typical vaccine development can take up to 15 years but this is now getting shortened to months. Right now, there are more than 20 candidates already in clinical development around the world. Five of these are being developed in the United States. This makes me happy because there is not a single vaccine that can meet the entire demand of the market and if some fail there are alternatives.

Do any of the vaccine candidates look promising?

I am very positive about what we are seeing so far. We’ve seen pretty encouraging results from preclinical models, the phase 1 and phase 2 trials. But none of this means anything yet because the proof will be in the results from the phase 3 trials. That’s where we will learn about the actual efficacy and safety. In terms of efficacy, I don’t think we will end up with a vaccine that gives us 100 percent protection from infection (meaning sterilizing immunity). But we do not need a perfect vaccine, and I am relatively hopeful that several vaccine candidates will lead to solid protection from disease. I think a vaccine will probably also dampen transmission. This will help people who aren’t able to get vaccinated or mount a strong response after they are vaccinated.

When can we expect to see phase 3 trials?

Phase 3 trials are already ongoing. I assume we’ll have pretty good data sets by late fall or early winter, especially from interim analysis of the phase 3 trials. It’s very important that we don’t cut corners in terms of safety or efficacy even if countries like Russia are licensing vaccines right now, and China is giving its vaccine to the military. We really need to see what the phase 3 trials tell us and we need to rely on the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to make a judgment call and only license vaccines that are safe and that work even if they are not perfect in terms of efficacy.

What can go wrong in a phase 3 trial?

If you don’t see efficacy, you don’t go forward. A lot of other things can go wrong. Vaccines can trigger an unintended neurological issue or an autoimmune disease in rare cases. You wouldn’t see this in a few hundred people in phase 1/2 trials, but you would see one, two, or three cases in a few thousand people. An example of this happened in 1976, after an outbreak of swine flu among soldiers at Fort Dix, New Jersey, led to massive vaccination campaigns and increased cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome.

Do we know how the vaccines will work in children or the elderly?

All COVID-19 vaccines tested so far in the clinic show relatively high but acceptable reactogenicity—adverse reactions, including fever and a sore arm at the injection site. Since there is often a lot more reactogenicity in kids than in adults, we need to see if that is also an acceptable level in children. In terms of age de-escalation, I’m not sure what the vaccine producers are planning for phase 3 trials. Typically, you would start testing in healthy young adults and work your way down in age. But if you see a safety signal that’s unacceptable, you may end up with a vaccine that is licensed for adults but not below a certain age group in children. I am not too worried about safety in older people but I am worried about their immune response. We know we have a lot of trouble inducing immune response with flu vaccines in older people and we even have special vaccine formulations for that age group. It’s not clear if we will run into the same problems with COVID-19 vaccines. Some of the phase 3 trials will include people in their 70s, up to 80, so this is something we should know about soon.

What could complicate the rollout of an effective vaccine?

Large-scale production is difficult, and a couple of front runners in this race have never produced a vaccine for the market. A lot of the technologies being used are new and there is little experience with scaling them up. Also, we don’t know who will get the vaccine first. Probably health care workers and high-risk individuals, but I would like to see a discussion about this and understand what the public thinks. Also, distribution and administration of that many vaccine doses needs to be coordinated well and will be a huge effort. You also have to take into account that there will not be instantaneous protection. You may need two shots, and it could take a few weeks to a month until you mount protective immunity. In the United States alone we will need 660 million doses (two shots per person). Globally, we will need 16 billion doses. It’s almost unimaginable how much vaccine we will need.

Mount Sinai Research Shows That Children Have Lower Risk of Catching COVID-19

Supinda Bunyavanich, MD, MPH, and post-doctoral fellow Scott Tyler, PhD. File photo.

On Saturday, March, 14,  as the U.S. economy was beginning to shut down due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Supinda Bunyavanich, MD, MPH, a mother of two young children and a Professor of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, and Pediatrics, at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, had a “eureka” moment.

“I was at home thinking about the world and how New York City was being hit, and I realized so much is unknown about this virus,” Dr. Bunyavanich recalls. As a parent, Dr. Bunyavanich says she was relieved to read that children appeared to be less susceptible to catching COVID-19 than the rest of the population based on reports from China, although no one knew precisely why.

Dr. Bunyavanich was on the phone that day with Alfin Vicencio, MD, Chief of Pediatric Pulmonology at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. They discussed how the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which causes COVID-19, might enter the body through ACE2 receptors—proteins on the surface of many cells, including those found in the lining of the nose. At that moment, she realized she had important data that connected both lines of research.

“I thought, ‘wait a minute,’ ” Dr. Bunyavanich says. “COVID-19 is a respiratory condition. I have data on what’s happening in the noses of people of many ages from my studies of asthma. Could it be that kids have fewer access points for the virus to enter?’”

In May, JAMA published the novel findings from Dr. Bunyavanich’s data, which showed that lower ACE2 expression in children relative to adults may help explain why the disease is less prevalent in young children.

“The degree to which we express ACE2 may play into how susceptible we are to the SARS-CoV-2 virus,” Dr. Bunyavanich says. “Our finding that there are age-related differences in the level of ACE2 is consistent with epidemiologic data from around the world that children suffer less from COVID-19. Lower nasal expression of ACE2 in children is a concrete finding from our study that might explain why children are less affected by SARS-CoV-2.”

Interestingly, Dr. Bunyavanich’s data are from a Mount Sinai study she has been leading for a few years that looks for nasal biomarkers for asthma. The data, part of a study of 305 individuals between the ages of 4 and 60, includes “an atlas of genes that a person expresses in their nose,” she says. “The original project wasn’t targeted to ACE2, but we had this library of information on hand, so we homed in on ACE2 given its potential role in COVID-19.”

The researchers found that young children have the least expression of ACE2 in their nasal passages and that the quantity increases with age, so that children 10 to 17 years of age have more than younger children, but less than young adults age 18 to 24. The highest level was found in individuals 25 and older.

It is possible, she says, that young children have plenty of virus particles in their noses, but perhaps they are less likely to enter the body. “Think of ACE2 as a doorknob that SARS-CoV-2 uses to get in. There might be plenty of virus waiting to get through the door, but it has a harder time compared to adults,” she says. “The virus won’t cause illness if it can’t get in.”

According to Diana W. Bianchi, MD, Director of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, young children tend to be mildly affected by COVID-19, and relatively few end up in intensive care units. Their symptoms also present differently than those in adults, with diarrhea, abdominal pain, and other gastrointestinal problems.

Many questions surrounding children and COVID-19 continue to be the focus of widespread debate, particularly as communities consider whether to reopen schools in the fall.

“In-person learning versus virtual learning is such a complicated topic,” says Dr. Bunyavanich. “For every family it’s going to require a different set of considerations about risk versus benefits and what their preferences are. Even though children are less susceptible overall, susceptibility might vary between individual children, and it’s still possible for children to carry the virus. You have to think of the whole web of complex interactions children have. That’s what makes it so hard.”

How Researchers—Using Adhesive Skin Tape Strips—Found a Single Gene Biomarker to Distinguish Atopic Dermatitis From Psoriasis

Emma Guttman-Yassky, MD, PhD

An estimated 31 million adults, and between 10 and 20 percent of children in the United States, have atopic dermatitis (AD), a common skin disorder commonly known as eczema. Another 8 million U.S. adults have psoriasis. Both are chronic and complex inflammatory skin conditions that involve systemic inflammation, skin-barrier disruption, and genetic and environmental factors.

AD results in widespread rashes and patches of dry, itchy skin when an individual’s immune system goes into overdrive. It highly interferes with a patient’s everyday life, causing a terrible itch that often disrupts sleep and other daily activities. Psoriasis is a disorder that causes skin cells to multiply up to 10 times faster than normal, making the skin build up into bumpy red patches covered with silvery white scales. Over the years, researchers, including Emma Guttman-Yassky, MD, PhD, at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, have made vast advances in understanding and treating AD and psoriasis.

Most recently, Dr. Guttman-Yassky, working with researchers from Mount Sinai and collaborating institutions, revealed progress on another front—finding a gene biomarker that could accurately differentiate between AD and psoriasis using less-invasive adhesive skin tape strips and avoiding skin biopsy.

“In the past, skin tissue biopsies have always been considered the gold standard for distinguishing between inflammatory skin diseases, but they can cause pain, scarring, and increased risk of infection,” says Dr. Guttman-Yassky, an expert in the molecular and cellular pathomechanisms of inflammatory skin disease. Her past revolutionary research on AD promoted development of targeted therapeutics for it. “Using small adhesive tape strips may provide, for the first time, a minimally invasive alternative to skin biopsies for monitoring biomarkers of patients with these particular skin diseases and beyond.” The team’s findings were published online in The Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology on Tuesday, July 21.

While tape strips are currently being used to help define unique genes and pathways, what the researchers were lacking was a comprehensive tape-strip molecular profile that would accurately capture the global gene signatures of lesional and nonlesional skin in AD and psoriasis—and differentiate one from the other.

Adhesive tapes are able to characterize atopic dermatitis and psoriasis skin profiles and identify a single biomarker that is able to accurately discriminate between these conditions with 100 percent accuracy.

In the study, the researchers evaluated tape strips obtained from 20 adults with moderate to severe AD, 20 with moderate to severe psoriasis, and 20 healthy individuals. The tape strips were placed on the skin and pressure was applied with fingers for approximately five seconds to capture the stratum corneum—the outer layer of the skin—and the upper part of the granular layer, a thin layer of cells.

From each subject, 20 tape strips were collected, some from lesions and the rest from clinically unaffected skin. The skin cells collected from the tape strips were subjected to global molecular profiling for identification of disease-related biomarkers.

After analysis, the researchers identified a single gene biomarker, nitride oxide synthase 2 (NOS2) that—with 100 percent accuracy— was able to distinguish between AD and psoriasis.

The researchers also captured other genes related to immune and epidermal barrier function that were dysregulated in AD and/or psoriasis, and that also distinguished each disease from the other. For example, tape strips from AD patients strongly expressed cell markers related to T-helper 2 (Th2) immune response, which is characteristic of AD, while psoriasis patients displayed much higher levels of Th1 and Th17 cytokines, which are characteristic of psoriasis.

Dr. Guttman-Yassky is the Sol and Clara Kest Professor and Vice Chair of the Kimberly and Eric J. Waldman Department of Dermatology at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. In January 2021, she will become its Chair—the first woman to serve as Chair of a Department of Dermatology in New York State. She will succeed Mark Lebwohl, MD, a legendary physician who has served with distinction as Chair of the Department for 24 years. Dr. Lebwohl has been promoted to Dean for Clinical Therapeutics.

Earlier in July, Dr. Guttman-Yassky received a National Institutes of Health (NIH) / National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease (NIAID) grant to study immune responses of patients with inflammatory skin diseases in the setting of COVID-19 infection.

Specifically, she will investigate whether systemic medications and biologics, such as dupilumab—a monoclonal antibody that binds to an inflammatory molecule, IL-4 receptor alfa, and inhibits the inflammatory response that leads to rashes and itching from atopic dermatitis/eczema—may have a positive or negative impact on COVID-19 responses in patients who have the disease. This two-year award is an addition to a seven-year grant by the NIH/NIAID to study mechanisms leading to variations in atopic dermatitis phenotypes.

Preliminary anecdotal reporting has shown that patients who have moderate to severe atopic dermatitis who take a biologic treatment such as dupilumab seem to be protected from developing serious complications of COVID-19 and are also less likely to be hospitalized due to complications.

According to Dr. Guttman-Yassky, Mount Sinai’s dermatology practices have more than 1,200 moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis patients who are taking dupilumab, and no patients in her practice, to her knowledge, have reported being hospitalized with COVID-19, although many, she says, have been exposed to the disease.

The ultimate goal of the study is to help determine whether systemic treatments, including specific monoclonal antibodies, impact responses to COVID-19 infection, and whether some of these treatments can protect from deleterious COVID-19 effects.

“Understanding these immune responses in the presence of patients with atopic dermatitis is extremely important, as it will help to guide how we treat patients with COVID-19 during this very critical period and help provide a possible new treatment directed towards this virus,” she says. “This research project has the potential to directly impact the medical care of tens of thousands of patients in the United States with atopic dermatitis on systemic medications in the setting of the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing morbidity and mortality, particularly in populations disproportionately affected, such as African Americans.”

Most People Mount a Strong Antibody Response to COVID-19

Daniel Stadlbauer, PhD, a postdoctoral fellow in Florian Krammer’s laboratory, adds a substrate to an ELISA plate that indicates whether antibodies binding to the spike protein of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are present in a human serum sample. The deep yellow color indicates antibodies are present. No color means that antibodies are not present.

The majority of individuals with COVID-19—including those with mild infections—mount a robust antibody response that is stable for at least three months, according to a new study by researchers at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. This antibody response correlates with the body’s ability to neutralize or actually kill the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Mount Sinai’s findings concur with studies conducted by major academic institutions elsewhere. Scientists have now had more than three months to track the levels of antibodies produced by individuals since the SARS-Co-V2 virus began to infect populations around the world.

“There were messages about the antibodies going away quickly. That’s not the case,” says Florian Krammer, PhD, Professor of Microbiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, a senior author on the recent preprint study. “The take-home message is that it looks like a pretty normal immune response.” Dr. Krammer developed one of the first effective SARS-CoV-2 antibody tests, which received emergency use authorization from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration at Mount Sinai’s clinical laboratory.

Additional time will be needed to determine how protective those antibodies are and how long-lived they are beyond three months. So far, Dr. Krammer says, animal models show that antibodies to COVID-19 behave like typical antibody responses to other diseases, meaning they protect from reinfection. The same scenario is likely for the vast majority of individuals, he says. If people become infected again their symptoms would likely be less severe.

“You need to follow people to see how long the antibodies are stable. These studies require time and there will be more data as researchers look at antibodies after 3 months, after 6 months and then again after a year,” Dr. Krammer says. He and his colleague, Viviana Simon, MD, PhD, Professor of Microbiology, and Medicine (Infectious Diseases), at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, are doing exactly that. In a study called Protection Associated with Rapid Immunity to SARS-CoV-2 (PARIS), they are tracking the antibody levels of, approximately, 140 individuals over 12 months. “We examine the participants every two weeks so we get a very granular look at how the antibodies are moving,” Dr. Krammer says.

Within the human body there are several levels of defense. In a typical response, acute plasmablast B cells are generated within days of an infection. These first responders serve as the infantry and coalesce to make an initial bolus of antibody, but their strength soon wanes. Then the body’s immune system kicks in with long-lived plasma B cells, which provide antibodies over a long period of time, and memory B cells, which can respond quickly if the virus attacks again. COVID-19’s relatively long incubation period of upwards of 7 days, likely gives the body ample time to create antibodies quickly if a reinfection would occur.

In addition to these B cell antibodies, the human body makes memory T cells, which appear to be helpful in fighting off the SARS-CoV-2 virus. In fact, blood samples taken from individuals who survived the first SARS virus in 2002-2003—a coronavirus cousin of SARS-CoV-2—showed they still had active memory T cells 17 years later, according to the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Interestingly, the NIH reported that these memory T cells now also recognized part of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

“There’s a lot of evidence that we see a normal immune response,” Dr. Krammer says. “Now that doesn’t mean we will all be protected forever. And it doesn’t mean that it’s impossible to get re-infected, specifically if someone is immune suppressed. We just don’t have that data yet. We will generate that data as we move forward.”

New Clinical Trial Will Test Whether Ketamine Can Be Used to Treat Children with Autism

Sandra Sermone and her son, Tony, who has ADNP syndrome. Mrs. Sermone founded the ADNP Kids Research Foundation, which is funding Mount Sinai’s phase 2 clinical trial into the safety and efficacy of ketamine as a potential treatment.

Ketamine, an anesthetic medication that has also been approved for use in severe depression, is now offering promise to children with a form of autism known as ADNP syndrome, or Helsmoortel-Van Der Aa syndrome. Ten children, ages 5 to 12, will soon take part in a clinical trial conducted by the Seaver Autism Center for Research and Treatment at Mount Sinai to determine whether ketamine is safe and well tolerated, and able to help compensate for the neuropsychiatric deficits that stem from missing a copy of the ADNP gene.

This will be the first clinical trial launched for ADNP syndrome, which was identified in 2015. It is a testament to the dedication of parents and physicians at the Seaver Autism Center, and the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in helping advance treatment research in rare disorders.

Ketamine and several other existing drugs were identified by an AI tool, mediKanren. It was created at the University of Alabama by a colleague of Matthew C. Davis, MD, whose child has ADNP syndrome. Dr. Davis and another parent, Sandra Sermone, investigated ketamine in relation to ADNP within the existing scientific literature and found that it upregulated expression of the gene. With this and other relevant clinical data in hand, they filed for intellectual property protection. Then Mrs. Sermone brought the information to leaders of the Seaver Autism Center, who agreed that it was worth further investigation. Alexander Kolevzon, MD, Clinical Director of the Seaver Autism Center applied to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for permission to proceed with a clinical trial and received approval.

“We think ketamine has potential and that it’s safe, so we’re very excited about it,” says Mrs. Sermone, who founded the ADNP Kids Research Foundation in 2016. The Foundation recently ran a “virtual” fundraising effort that raised more than $150,000 in six weeks that will be used to finance the entire phase 2 clinical trial and begin to lay the groundwork for a possible phase 3 study.

Approximately 275 children worldwide have been diagnosed with the syndrome, which often is accompanied by other complex health issues of the heart and brain. “I am so grateful for the team at Mount Sinai. I’ve never seen a group more dedicated to working with patient groups,” she adds. “Ketamine is a repurposed drug, so if it shows efficacy we can hopefully move quickly into a larger, phase 3 clinical.”

Ana Kostic, PhD, Director of Drug Discovery and Development at the Seaver Autism Center, says, “Ketamine has been used for many decades. We know a lot about the molecule and its safety profile, and now to find new uses for it through scientific discovery is amazing.”

Since ADNP is very important for the development and function of the central nervous system, the ability to restore its functionality would be extremely beneficial.

Dr. Kolevzon says each of the children enrolled in the clinical trial will receive a single infusion of ketamine over a period of 40 minutes and will be monitored over the course of four weeks to assess improvement. In addition to determining its safety and tolerability, he says, “we are also really interested in clinical improvement. Kids with ADNP have a lot of sensory sensitivities that we can measure with different tools, such as electrophysiology.” This would enable the researchers to “see whether there are changes in the electrical patterns in the brain in response to ketamine, and that might give us insight into potential biomarkers. These children have language problems, behavioral problems, and sleep problems. There are a lot of issues that go along with ADNP syndrome that we’re hoping to potentially address.”

The promise of ketamine may also extend to larger populations of individuals with autism who do not necessarily have ADNP syndrome, according to Dr. Kostic. “It could have beneficial effects in people who don’t have the same mutation but who have similar deficits.”

Access to high-quality genetic technology has become increasingly affordable over the past several years and has enabled more families to receive accurate and earlier diagnoses of many disorders, including autism. In most cases, the younger a child receives intervention, the better their chances of improvement. Earlier diagnoses, and a potential treatment such as ketamine, provide Mrs. Sermone and other committed parents with hope.

“It’s incredibly important because, currently, there isn’t one single treatment for our children with ADNP syndrome,” says Mrs. Sermone. “Our kids don’t produce enough of the ADNP protein. It’s like they’re running on half a tank of gas. To improve the quality of their lives—for us, that would be amazing.”

 

Mount Sinai to Create and Test New Hyperimmune Globulin Drug for COVID-19

The Mount Sinai Health System in July will begin collecting high levels of blood-based antibodies from people who have recovered from COVID-19 as part of a $34.6 million clinical trial to create and test a hyperimmune globulin drug that would be used to treat early COVID-19 disease and to prevent specific at-risk populations from developing the disease.

Hyperimmune globulin is derived from pooled blood-plasma donations from many people with high levels of antibodies to COVID-19, as opposed to convalescent plasma, which uses just one donor per recipient. The pooled plasma is then then purified into a product that can be used as a treatment or prophylactic drug administered by injection or intravenously, conferring temporary immunity to the disease from the antibodies. The same process is used to prevent people from developing diseases such as hepatitis B and rabies.

To conduct clinical research trials, one of which is funded by the U.S. Department of Defense, Mount Sinai will work with two companies, Emergent BioSolutions and ImmunoTek Bio Centers, to produce the drug. It is expected to be given to patients with early disease, to front-line medical workers, and to military personnel who are unable to avoid close contact while training and conducting missions.

Jeffrey Bander, MD, Medical Director of Network Development for the Mount Sinai Health System, is assisting in recruiting donors for the clinical trial. “We’re not helpless against COVID-19,” Dr. Bander says. “People can fight back by donating antibodies.” While experts are not certain how long antibodies last, Dr. Bander says, “we do know that people who had the strongest antibody response still seem to have it three months later.”

To create the drug, Mount Sinai will rely on blood-plasma donations from people who recovered from COVID-19 during the spring surge of cases in New York City. People may donate twice a week for multiple weeks. A new collection center that can process 12 donors at a time has been established on The Mount Sinai Hospital campus. 

ImmunoTek Bio Centers is assisting Mount Sinai in the blood-plasma collection. The plasma will be frozen on site and then transported to Emergent BioSolutions to pool it and create the hyperimmune globulin. Then the product will be sent back to Mount Sinai and other sites to be used in clinical trials.

Plasma Collection Center Seeks Potential Donors

The Mount Sinai Health System, in collaboration with Emergent BioSolutions and ImmunoTek Bio Centers, has established a Plasma Collection Center at The Mount Sinai Hospital to advance the development of hyperimmune globulin, a potential therapeutic.

You may be a candidate to donate plasma for use in this drug if you are age 18 to 65 and meet criteria including these: you have tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19; have fully recovered; and have a high concentration of antibodies. If you are interested in donating plasma, please complete the prescreening questionnaire.  

If you meet the qualifications to donate, a member of the Mount Sinai team will contact you to schedule a donation appointment.

“It is imperative that we have more options to prevent this terrible disease in front-line workers and other high-risk populations and to potentially decrease the severity of illness in those infected,” says David L. Reich, MD, President of The Mount Sinai Hospital and Mount Sinai Queens.

Suzanne Arinsburg, DO, Associate Professor of Pathology, Molecular and Cell Based Medicine, who is overseeing Mount Sinai’s blood-banking and donation process, says that monthly administration of hyperimmune globulin may also serve as a prophylactic treatment for people who would not be medically eligible to receive a vaccine.

The regulations surrounding blood-plasma donations that are used for hyperimmune globulin are stricter than for convalescent plasma, according to Dr. Arinsburg. Donors are carefully screened and participate by appointment only.

With convalescent plasma, “every patient is getting plasma from a different donor and every donor has a different amount of antibody, and there are always differences between donors that we may not understand,” says Dr. Arinsburg. “With hyperimmune globulin, the plasma is pooled from many donors and fractionated to highly concentrate the antibodies so that every patient gets the same amount. That removes the issue of differences between donors.”

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